Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Memo to Google: Don't “Grow Up”
Google's Cash Conundrum: Too Much
Could Google provide a stimulus package to help boost the ailing U.S. economy?
Google CEO Eric Schmidt revealed Monday to The Wall Street Journal that the company is "thinking" about returning cash to shareholders. It's only a concept at this point, mind you: Mr. Schmidt ruled out a dividend and said no cash return was likely anytime soon.
—The Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2008
Did Eric Schmidt learn nothing this year?
And does the Wall Street Journal not pay attention to the very headlines it has been writing these last few liquidity-deprived months?
Could it be that a single weekend without five or six bank failures around the globe has blocked out the memory of five or six months’ worth of round-the-clock meetings involving sleep-deprived Treasury officials crafting rescue packages for every major investment bank—save the one that filed Chapter 11—in America?
Did we miss something, or did Team Iceland—by losing all three of its banks in one week—not just bat 1.000 in the Bank Failure World Series?
Was this whole crisis all a dream?
Apparently it was, because the above-quoted Wall Street Journal article provides a circa 2005-2006 take on the miseries of a publicly traded corporation with too much cash:
Google's growth and love of experimentation is not over. But, on the financial front, it may be growing up.
If “growing up” means throwing away cash on the kind of mindless, investment banker-enriching share buybacks and special dividends that Dean Foods, Scott’s Miracle-Gro, Office Depot and many others embarked on at precisely the wrong time, financial-crisis-wise, we vote for Google remaining a strapping youth.
Readers may recall the “growing up” of Office Depot CEO Steve Odland, who “cleared the balance sheet” of nearly $1 billion in cash in fiscal 2006, buying 26 million shares of Office Depot at an average price of $37. (See “The Shareholder Letter You Should, But Won’t, Be Reading Next Spring,” from August 08, 2007 and “Attention Target Management: Pay No Attention to Analysts Begging for Buybacks,” from November 21, 2007).
Odland’s move earned kudos from Wall Street’s Finest and temporarily provided a lift to the stock price of a second-string office products distributor, but it did nothing to turn Office Depot into a first-string office products distributor, nor did it prepare the company for whatever the world's economy could throw at it: the stock could be bought yesterday at $2.85 a share.
Thus it was with some shock we read the following about Google’s supposed interest in the same sort of “cash-clearing” exercise that crippled more than a few companies at precisely the moment they could least afford being crippled:
Even so, it was a telling comment, indicating that despite Google's continued investment in a range of new business initiatives and infrastructure, the company's cash is piling up faster than it can be spent. On Sept. 30, Google had $14.4 billion in cash and marketable securities.
It may also signal that management is concerned about the roughly 50% fall in Google's stock price over the past 12 months.
We have never seen a company—particularly a supposed high-growth enterprise such as Google—that has successfully propped up its stock in any other way than by continuing to grow its business in a rational, sustainable manner.
And that includes especially the kind of “cash-clearing” follies that helped bring Office Depot from $37 a share to less than $3 in a few short years, and paralyzed hundreds of other companies that might otherwise have taken advantage of cheap prices in the current liquidity squeeze, while forcing the least healthy to seek shotgun mergers or worse.
If a lesson is to be learned from the last three months, it is that cash is not 'trash,' as the saying goes: it is a valuable strategic asset that gives a company an enormous leg up when its competitors have had their legs cut out from underneath them.
Just ask Steve Odland, Eric.
I Am Not Making This Up
© 2008 NotMakingThisUp, LLC
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Posted by Jeff Matthews at 8:28 AM